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The President of the Republic, in one of these round-trip which he has the secret has participated in a debate almost Franco-French, met with Indonesian President and Bill Gates, with which France has a privileged partnership. He left the Swiss resort early in the afternoon.

Fortunately, the media has retained much of its advocacy for the Euro: the assertion that there was no question of abandoning the euro and that France and Germany and was not even considered this idea.

Was there much need to return to the Second World War and the “violence and barbarity” of this confrontation? The Euro is really an instrument of peace? What the audience wanted to hear is why Europe has made fifty years ago. They are clear and respected, because fundamentally right. Was it really scratch in passing the complexity of managing Barack Obama compared to that of Europe.

The fundamental question today is the result of ê be the Euro, its added value for Europe and its economies. There are voices, even in France, to protest against the retention in the Euro. Consider that the Fund was established ” in record time ” , is seeking history.

The consequences of the disappearance of the euro would be “cataclysmic.” To whom? Why? He had been so important to demonstrate the relevance of the Euro today, with its constraints, opportunities and challenges.

The answer to Jamie Dimon, the boss of JP Morgan, which called for the establishment of good political cooperation with global regulators and the G 20 has surprised. Trying to describe the “direct link absolutely “between the financial crisis and Europe’s unemployed is at least questionable.

The description of an offshore country guaranteeing 700 times its GDP or postings swam off-balance in the middle of science fiction.

The description of the IMF’s role was surprising. The idea of reforming the IMF should not come at the expense of its primary function: managing the global equilibrium. Needless to say that the description denigrated the Fund’s current action as the Chairman of the G 20 has distanced himself from the peak of Seoul.

Unfortunately Christine Lagarde has wandered somewhat. In a debate this Sunday morning, organized by the BBC in Davos, she tried to pretend that Europe and the Euro were the ” shock problems in other parts of the world . ” Exceeding the limits of fiscal deficit and debt of European countries seem to me entirely the responsibility of the countries concerned.

Why look for external causes to which is a form of complacency, and neglect in the budgetary and fiscal discipline. It is extremely dangerous to denounce the enemy from the outside while it was initially to put its own house in order. “It’s too easy to pretend , “sings Jacques Brel.

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Since the beginning of the Greek crisis, we have to put some European authorities to their responsibilities: to act instead of decisiveness, the authorities of the Eurozone have left Greece without the patient care. It is true that he had hidden and denies the severity of its symptoms. The doctor Euro preferred to see how the disease would develop. The diagnosis is clear: the euro is on the verge of collapse and the Greek patient in a coma.

The Greek crisis sounded the death knell of the great European illusion.

The knell of European leadership as the Lisbon Treaty was intended to improve and where only one of five presidents (ir) responsible for the Euro, Jean Claude Trichet sounded the alarm. There is no pilot in the plane and we lied at the last summit in Brussels: the conditions for intervention at the bedside of Greece were totally impossible to bring together what has allowed political speech reassuring fund lack of decision. Europe is rich in rhetoric.

The knell of German responsibility Angela Merkel does not seem to states of mind to let slip the Euro has provided the abyss that no action be taken before the maturity German election. Yet its motto, no? But she is not alone and many countries, as often in our history, are happy to hide behind the refusal of Germanic measures they would be unable to “sell” to their public opinion. And Angela Merkel, ask a plan three years in Greece after months of missions on behalf of the discipline of the IMF is a shame. We do not ask a patient with high fever how they will recover his health in three years. Angela Merkel looks set to be elected on the ashes of the Euro.

The knell of fiscal discipline and tax: European countries have a heading or another have all accepted a budgetary drift now affecting the whole of Europe: Great Britain, Ireland, Italy, Spain, Greece, and possibly be others left their budgetary discipline and end up drifting, has title in difficulties. If we add Japan and the United States, the situation takes global proportions.

The death knell of the political action of vertices in tops, European leaders have after six months has not paid one Euro Greece. Europe is in fact powerless to take its responsibilities and confusing action and tense. It’s a travesty that support decisions for Greece and the lack of action by the Greek leaders (who have only to ask for help) and European leaders.

The death knell for the Greek political responsibility: not content with providing fake al’Europe figures, for hiding with the help of Wall Street, a portion of its debt, while denying the evidence that the Prime Minister Greek was in Washington to ask President Obama … the regulation of hedge funds.

The death knell for public debt. With a debt to two years pay 15%, Greece is now ensured to be in default on its debt in the coming days while the finance ministers at Washington was still considering the problems on a case by case basis. Only Dominique Strauss Kahn has consistently calmed everything that would listen, the risk of contagion. One wonders why the european central banks do not invest in such bonds: the yield is excellent and I can not imagine they speculate on default of payment of Greece.

The bell rings. The time counts. Without an advance of 30 billion Euro in the coming days, the whole of European government debt will collapse and with it the bond markets are representative of this debt.

A European leader had told me early in my career that smart people are not lacking, but the brave were rare. He did not say so.

For 24 hours a number of comments circulating in the press and on the net both in Europe and the U.S., arguing that one can not solve a debt problem through debt. That sounds good, but it is a shortcut misleading. Without an exhaustive analysis, point out some aspects of the decision this weekend end.

The European definition is by borrowing, and thus debt. A key change, however: If Europe ready for Greece, it will repay the debt more expensive. That should mitigate the risk of “snowball effect.” Greece will pay less interest in since it will benefit from better conditions than those it obtains on the marketplace. This will reduce its budget deficit.

In addition, it will seek capital markets for smaller amounts. Some loans will be under the signature of Europe (TBD). The total amount of bonds issued on the Greek Eurobond market decline. The weight of debt Greek is found distributed between Europe and the markets.

Finally, risk-taking will be made by Europe, and the Greek risk allocation will become more balanced. Somewhere in Europe, “improving” the rating of Greece. This should enable it to restructure its finances and the effects reforms helping, getting faster at a level of debt such as loans Europeans will no longer be necessary.There is a risk allocation that reduces the interest burden and the burden of debt.

All this presupposes that the European loans will be used to gradually reduce the outstanding bonds.At the macro level, the impression of a “zero-sum game.” But not at this level that things pass: we must add a credit analysis.